Here Comes the Great Insurance Crisis

Fifty billion dollars. That is $50,000 million. I like to use that analogy so that readers can understand the magnitude of a billion dollars, which is $1,000 million. That is what the devastation in Southern California’s recent fires cost. Insurance is one of the great gifts of finance to mankind. Through the statistical magic of risk pooling, an individual can…

Read More

The Consumer Strengthens

“It’s all over but the shouting.” The expression’s first use in print was in 1842, by Welsh sportswriter Charles James Apperley when reporting a late score in a sporting event. As so it is with the election, but as I have said many times before, election outcomes have near-zero impact on our businesses, and life goes on. Even before the…

Read More

A No Landing?

You would have to be living under a rock not to see the tear the stock markets are on, and especially the construction materials subset of companies that supply aggregates, cement and ready mixed concrete; and that are all breaking through previous records to all-time highs. And jobs reports continue to be strong, and in a strange dichotomy, the consumer…

Read More

The Fed Goes Big

That was the subject line on an end-of-day email from one of the major business media enterprises on a Wednesday afternoon in mid-September. It was the day the Fed held its regular meeting, and ended speculation as to whether the all-but-assured rate cut would be 25 basis points, or a more aggressive 50 points. And 50 it was, but it…

Read More

A Mid-Year Look at the Housing Market

Interest rates have been elevated for a long time now, a stretch spanning the longest period for high interest rates that we can remember. Starting in March 2022, rates have ratcheted up to their current levels and have been there for 2½ years now. But as I have been predicting for some time, rates will come down, although the timing…

Read More

A Desk of Their Own

Last month, I wrote about the push across America of the “Return-To-Office” (RTO) movement, and how “Work-From-Home” is slowly becoming less tolerable to employers. As I related last month, Walmart is laying off hundreds of white-collar jobs, and forcing others to relocate, many to their headquarters town of Bentonville, Ark. Others, like JP Morgan Chase, has a CEO in Jamie…

Read More

The Pulse

THE PULSE: CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS MARKET ANALYSIS  PIERRE VILLERE’S MARKET ASSESSMENT In the latest update on the construction materials industry, the AVP Pulse Index experienced a modest increase of 0.1% for the month, but continues to gain ground with steady, but not overly strong, year-over­-year growth of 3.8%. Over the past 36 months, the index increased 10.5%, indicating a slight slowdown in…

Read More

Wait! Stop the Presses!

I have to start by explaining this headline for the younger readers who don’t remember the culture of the newspaper industry, which is now long gone. You see, newspapers in larger markets once printed multiple editions throughout the day, so that news could be as recent as three or four hours old. “Wait! Stop the Presses!” was a popular expression…

Read More
1 2 3 4